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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • “The 1930s are back,” said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING Germany, comparing the wave of trade barriers imposed by the White House to 1930s-era protectionist trade rules.

    Hi Germany, I promise here in Denmark we will buy more German and less American.
    And at least this time we have EU, and a lot of countries like UK, Canada, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and many other countries, that are probably also ready to increase trade with us (EU). Even China could be a partner in this situation.

    So although it will have an impact, I doubt it will be anywhere remotely close to the 30’s. And if ti’s any consolation, USA will probably be hit harder than Germany.


  • A key driver behind the euro’s creation was to act as a counterweight to the dollar,

    This is false. The reason for the Euro was to make trade easier between EU countries, and to have a more stable currency than countries could provide individually. stable currency and stable economy are tied, and fundamental for economic growth.
    It was an extension of decades of cooperation since the 70’s between the national banks of EU (EEC) to stabilize European currencies against each other.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snake_in_the_tunnel
    The Euro is also part of the free movement policy of EU, and a crucial part of the open market, making it easier to trade across borders as individuals too.
    https://european-union.europa.eu/institutions-law-budget/euro/history-and-purpose_en

    Seems to me the USD has been slowly dethroning itself for a couple of decades now.
    To be a good reserve currency requires stability, and USA started the financial crisis in 2008, and is now starting their very own recession.
    The USD is already not as almighty as it used to be. But the Euro isn’t quick to take over either.
    International reserve currency is already somewhat fragmented, and we will probably see more fragmentation between Yuan, Euro and USD. With USD losing ground and the others gaining.