Will I wake up one day to see everyone using Linux.
Stagnation around 5% tops.
Linux is the most deployed OS on the planet, and the comparisons are not even close.
If you mean just for Desktop, it depends on what’s happening with the MacBook Neo, and if Microsoft gets their shit together and reverses course I suppose.
I think the proposition of avoiding American tech in general will become more and more attractive in the coming years. Governments are already trying to move away from Microsoft for national security reasons. That’ll have the knock-on effect of putting Linux and Libra Office in front of more people at work and school.
In combination with the advances in Linux gaming, This may be the first time since the 80s where the OS you’re first exposed to will be anything other than Windows or Mac.
This may be the first time since the 80s where the OS you’re first exposed to will be anything other than Windows or Mac.
We’re already well past that point, honestly. Kids graduating high school this year grew up on iPadOS and ChromeOS. Last year I taught someone who is going to college this fall how a directory structure works.
As for me, our household is a Windows-free environment (except for a VM on my personal laptop that I use for DRM’d ebooks). We’re Mac-free except for my work computer. My kids are learning Linux as their first real desktop OS (previously they had only used school Chromebooks), and it’s been pretty smooth sailing.
Even pre-covid I was running into kids at the college I worked at at the time who didn’t know how to use a mouse or a flash drive.
Big jump. To call it slow and steady now is nearly a lie.
A government will send out an RFP to Lenovo, HP, Dell to provide end-user workstations running their government standard distribution. It will be a 10-15 year commitment. This establishes hardware support.
They also establish a support agreement with an office suite.
This combo effectively sets up hardware and software support that becomes available to home users.
It’s almost the same idea as setting minimum wage or travel reimbursements for government workers and private sector follows.
Slow and steady, with occasional spikes when a government or mega-corp does something particularly terrible.
i think that linux usage will stagnate around 10% of people using it, with 90% instead choosing not to operate any computer at all …
That’s up to Microsoft.
Everyone’s already using Linux. Linux desktop? Guess we will see if desktop even survives the next few years. I know, unpopular opinion on Lemmy, but I’m pretty sure LLMs will redefine how we interact with our computers, apps, and work. Probably it’ll be more like just talking to a wearable and it’ll use whatever screens are nearby if it needs to show you something. You won’t switch apps, you won’t use the web, it’ll all just happen as fast as you can dream and say it
People will use “shitty corporate Linux” because no corporation is going to pre-install an OS that isn’t shitty spyware because spying on you is worth money and why on earth would a corporation leave money on the table?