• EatingOnions@lemmy.worldOP
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    28 days ago

    You’re talking like they’re going to invade, which is not the case. Like before they’ve sent multiple drones to multiple EU countries it will be some kind of diversion with plausible deniability, followed by wave of disinformation using current spat between Poland and Ukraine to drive the wedge even further between them

    • Labor Class@lemmy.world
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      28 days ago

      Non sensible . Russia even doesnt have enough resource to handle Ukraine , why they would diversify their limited resource ? It would just longing the war and exhausted itself . Russia is a sick man and cannot recover at least 20 years .

      • EatingOnions@lemmy.worldOP
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        28 days ago

        All your questions are answered in article, if you only read it instead of stopping on the title.

        Russian action would almost certainly be cloaked – as in the past – in some scarcely plausible disguise. A drone strike could be blamed on Ukraine or dismissed as an accident. A border incursion could be explained away as a GPS failure or a search-and-rescue mission to retrieve a helicopter that had crashed after inadvertently crossing into Polish airspace.

        The plausible deniability route is not Russia’s only escalation option, defence officials say. Russia could instead simulate air strikes on Poland using zombie missiles, decoy drones or signal spoofing to create ghost tracks on radar screens, forcing the Polish military to activate air defences.

        A fourth Baltic security source confirmed to The Telegraph that such plans were under discussion in Moscow. Russia may then attempt to claim the provocation was carried out by Ukraine afterwards.

        Russia would count on the fact that, instead of opening fire on Russian or Belarusian soldiers in such a situation, Poland would be forced by the US to negotiate with Russia or Belarus rather than respond forcefully, Polish sources told Onet.

        A scenario in which the Russians would withdraw from Poland as a result of those negotiations, rather than because they were forced to do so by military means, would be seen as a win from Moscow’s perspective.

        • Labor Class@lemmy.world
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          26 days ago

          So, Russia does not have the power to attack NATO. I am talking about a full-scale war. but it will continue to attack with alternative solutions

          • EatingOnions@lemmy.worldOP
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            26 days ago

            Of course they don’t, article itself mentions it. That’s why they want to use diverse attacks to sow doubt between allies and prove NATO doesn’t work and in the end each country has to act on its own. Good old divide and conquer