Big doubt on that assessment.
Poland is one of the most “never again will we be the victims”-culture (aside of Finland). They are armed to the teeth and won’t fuck around.
Poland doesn’t even need us to intervene, they will rock Putin’s shit before asking for help.
Russia is actually in a pretty bad position right now. They are at an inflection point and losing the war, all things considered.
My biggest question is how Moscow will eventually concede this fact. I don’t think they will and it’ll likely end up as either a nuke being used or internal revolt and revolution
If nothing changes, in six months, there will be mass famine and near ubiquitous collapse within Russia.
Poland doesn’t need to do anything
Sir, one „internal revolt and revolution” as take away please.
If things in Ukraine aren’t going according to plan, that would be a monumental ass kicking.
I think that’s the point? The Ukraine war isn’t going to plan, so they could be looking for an exit strategy to save face.
“We could’ve won the war if NATO didn’t get involved 😔”
Paywall no thanks.
I don’t have paywall, not sure why you do
Here you go, friend: Archived and non-paywalled
Russia “we can’t win against Ukraine” to test the resolve of the worlds mightiest military alliance, while still engaged in Ukraine? By attacking a nation that’s been preparing to fight them off since the 90s?
Sure… this is clearly not US officials fear mongering to grab at for the shredded remains of their significance after their diplomatic influence got rekt by their current “administration”. /s
Russia even can’t handle Ukraine ,how it will attack nato ? These like news are western propaganda to spread fear
You’re talking like they’re going to invade, which is not the case. Like before they’ve sent multiple drones to multiple EU countries it will be some kind of diversion with plausible deniability, followed by wave of disinformation using current spat between Poland and Ukraine to drive the wedge even further between them
Non sensible . Russia even doesnt have enough resource to handle Ukraine , why they would diversify their limited resource ? It would just longing the war and exhausted itself . Russia is a sick man and cannot recover at least 20 years .
All your questions are answered in article, if you only read it instead of stopping on the title.
Russian action would almost certainly be cloaked – as in the past – in some scarcely plausible disguise. A drone strike could be blamed on Ukraine or dismissed as an accident. A border incursion could be explained away as a GPS failure or a search-and-rescue mission to retrieve a helicopter that had crashed after inadvertently crossing into Polish airspace.
The plausible deniability route is not Russia’s only escalation option, defence officials say. Russia could instead simulate air strikes on Poland using zombie missiles, decoy drones or signal spoofing to create ghost tracks on radar screens, forcing the Polish military to activate air defences.
A fourth Baltic security source confirmed to The Telegraph that such plans were under discussion in Moscow. Russia may then attempt to claim the provocation was carried out by Ukraine afterwards.
Russia would count on the fact that, instead of opening fire on Russian or Belarusian soldiers in such a situation, Poland would be forced by the US to negotiate with Russia or Belarus rather than respond forcefully, Polish sources told Onet.
A scenario in which the Russians would withdraw from Poland as a result of those negotiations, rather than because they were forced to do so by military means, would be seen as a win from Moscow’s perspective.
So, Russia does not have the power to attack NATO. I am talking about a full-scale war. but it will continue to attack with alternative solutions
Of course they don’t, article itself mentions it. That’s why they want to use diverse attacks to sow doubt between allies and prove NATO doesn’t work and in the end each country has to act on its own. Good old divide and conquer
Russia only exists because China allows it. When China thinks Russia is sufficiently weakened, they will just move in an take it.